Crowd Wisdom in Financial Markets

In a collaborative venture with Dysrupt Laboratories Ltd, a market leader in the commercialisation of collective intelligence, Realworld Capital is exploring the positive effect of crowd wisdom in forecasting financial market cycles.

We are conducting an experiment where we look to determine whether collective intelligence can better predict longer term market trends. Daily signals aggregated from crowd forecasting are measured against subsequent market moves to determine their predictive attributes.

Dysrupt Laboratories has developed Almanis, a crowd forecasting platform which asks questions of global geopolitical, economic, industrial and financial significance.

Wisdom of crowds: forecasting supercycles

A series of cycle-direction financial market questions on our Portfolio Questions page hyperlink to almanis.com where forecasters are asked to make directional forecasts.

The more the crowd contributes to the collective intelligence, the more accurate predictive outcomes are likely to be. There is no cost or secondary obligations related to user participation. Attaining accurate market signals ahead of market moves is the ultimate objective.

Realworld Capital manages proprietary investments in FX, global equities and government bonds, commodities, precious metals and emerging markets,  taking long-term investment and short-term trade decisions where fundamental value is supported by a strong technical environment.

Should evidence continue to build that signals from the crowd are often ahead of the market, our own investment decisions will likely be influenced.

 

 

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